Obamacare Ruling & The Election

28 06 2012

Just a disclaimer up front, this post is completely opinion based, and if you do not like that, quit reading now.

So as I was preparing last night to write a post about the Supreme Court’s ruling, I was planning on saying that the Supreme Court striking down Obamacare would hurt Romney’s campaign. However, I get to say the opposite of what I expected.

We all know that the Supreme Court struck down Obamacare with a surprising 5-4 vote with Chief Justice Roberts providing the swing vote. The reason that this will help Romney is because it gives Republicans and independents a since of something to rally behind. Before now, the biggest political motivator in this race has been gay marriage, which is not an issue that really affects everyone in America.

Since most people do not like Obamacare, I think this will ultimately motivate many people to come out to the polls and vote for Romney in order to overturn this law before it fully takes affect. It gives Republicans something more to fight for, which I think is very important right now.

If Obamacare would have been struck down, Obama would have easily have recovered from that and actually turned it favorably towards him. He could have said that if his plan was unconstitutional, then so was Romney’s plan in Massachusetts. Despite the obvious differences in the plans, many American’s still view them as the same law. Obama also has the personality to have written off the decision as a mistake if it would have went the other way.

Ultimately, I think this is great for Romney’s campaign, but I do think that this is far from being over. It will be interesting to watch poll numbers in the next few days to see which way they go.





Veepstakes Tuesday: Nikki Haley

26 06 2012

With the Republican National Convention only two months away, speculation is still running rampant on who will be Mitt Romney’s running mate. Romney is very persistent that only he and Beth Myers are the only ones who know who are being vetted for the VP job. For now, all we can do is speculate who that person might be.

One person who has been mentioned for a long time is South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. Haley is the daughter of Indian immigrants, who was born and raised a Sikh before converting to Christianity when she met her husband.

She has supported Romney before the South Carolina primary, and he has also supported her in the 2010 gubernatorial race. She has made headlines for having a very strong-willed personality and going after what she wants. Today, she has made news by telling the state House and Senate to put their egos aside and get a budget passed. This is definitely a quality that could be used in a VP  roll, who ultimately acts as the speaker of the Senate.

Unfortunately, she is also making news headlines for her ethics investigation, which the hearings for start on Thrusday. This investigation is to determine if she illegally lobbied for her employers while she was a state representative.

Taking Haley as the VP nominee would be a huge risk for Romney, but sometimes risks pay off in great ways. Her approval ratings are slowly going up, and many South Carolinians believe that the state is back on the right track. However, this ethics investigation could really hurt Romney if she is placed on the ticket with him. I don’t think that she will get the nomination because she is too risky.

Here are my sources, and tell me who you want me to talk about next week:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/24/nikki-haley-approval-rating-increase_n_1448968.html

http://www.wltx.com/news/article/191846/2/Haley-Stop-Battle-of-the-Egos-Pass-a-Budget?odyssey=tab%7Ctopnews%7Cbc%7Clarge

http://www.kansascity.com/2012/06/25/3674444/ethics-hearing-for-sc-gov-nikki.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikki_Haley

http://www.usnews.com/news/washington-whispers/slideshows/the-10-most-buzzed-about-2012-gop-vp-candidates/3





Obama Campaign Spent More During May Than It Made

21 06 2012

So Obama’s campaign spent more in the month of May than it raised. Ironically, this is the same strategy that Democrats use when they are in office.

Obama & the DNC spent $15 million more than he raised in May. They only raised $54 million last month, but spent $69 million. This is not the best sign for Obama’s campaign since Romney has begun to out fundraise Obama.

During the month of May, Obama raised $17 million less than Romney & the RNC, who raised $76.8 million in May. Not only is Romney out fundraising Obama, Restore Our Future, the pro-Romney super PAC, is out fundraising Priorities USA Action, the pro-Obama super PAC.

Luckily for Obama, he still ended May with $109.7 million in reserves, which is a 6-1 advantage over Romney. The reasoning for this is because Obama did not have to fight a primary election, which Romney definitely did have to do.

A majority of this money is being spent on advertising, specifically TV. I know that I have already begun to see multiple ads on cable networks.

I guess we will see how long this spending spree will last, and if Romney can keep out fundraising Obama.

Like always, here are my sources & feel free to comment below:

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/katehicks/2012/06/21/ha_obama_campaign_spent_more_than_it_made_in_may

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-06-20/obama-spends-more-than-raises-in-may/55724018/1





Veepstakes Tuesdays: Condoleezza Rice

19 06 2012

Ever since Romney became the clear front runner in the GOP presidential nomination race, many top Republican pundits have suggested that Condolezza Rice would make the perfect running mate for him.

Rice, former national security adviser and Secretary of State under George Bush, has topped many wish list polls as the leader among potential VP nominees. In one poll, Rice received the most support from those who aren’t tea party backers as well as third, behind Rubio and Christie, among those who are tea party supporters.

Currently Rice is the Denning Professor in Global Business and the Economy at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business, the Thomas and Barbara Stephenson Senior Fellow on Public Policy at the Hoover Institution and a professor of political science at Stanford University.

All of her experience in with foreign policy and global economy fills a big gap on the Republican ticket. She brings in a lot of expertise that will be needed in the upcoming few years. With our relationships with Pakistan and Iran on edge right now and the horrible global economy, Rice will bring experience that our current administration nor Romney has.

She will not only bring valuable knowledge to the ticket, but it is hard to ignore the fact that she could also bring in some much needed votes. She can get the women’s vote, which will be one of the deciding factors in this race. Also, she is African American and can steal some of the African American vote away from Obama.

She is well liked and not very controversial. Her biggest downfall is that she is associated with the Bush administration and some people still do not feel that well about his presidency. Overall, I think she is one of the best  candidates for the job. She has plenty of credentials and will aid Romney in appealing to swing voters. Unfortunately, she has said that she is not interested in the job. However, I could definitely see her being the nominee.

Here are my sources, and tell me what you think about Condi’s chances.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-30/condoleezza-rice-to-endorse-romney-at-west-coast-event.html

http://www.hoover.org/fellows/10078

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0412/75341.html





Presidential Election Update

13 06 2012

I’ve spent plenty of times looking at polls and trying to figure out how the presidential election will turn out this year. Below is the map I created thanks to Real Clear Politics.

I have made some changes to the RCP predictions just based on current polls and history. I took most of the likely states and made them safe. There a few states that are starting to lean in one direction but could ultimately change depending on the VP nominee, and there are some states that the lead for Obama is starting to decrease.

I took North Carolina, Arizona and Missouri out of the toss-up category and moved them into the leans Romney category based on recent polling that suggests that Romney is picking up more support in those states than Obama is.

I think that Florida will end up going for Romney, but I did not change it on the map because it is still too close to decide for sure. A VP nominee could ensure Florida would go red, but at this point is still too close.

As of right now, New Hampshire will go blue, but if Romney takes Kelly Ayotte as his VP, it could sway the state into red category. This is the only reason that I left it as a toss up.

Michigan will probably end up going blue as well, but the most recent poll from there shows Romney up one.

Right now, I believe that Nevada will probably go blue, but we all know that Nevada is always up in the air. Also, I have Pennsylvania in the leaning Obama instead of likely because Romney has been pouring money into the state and has reduced Obama’s lead in the state.

Right now, the biggest few states are Virginia, Ohio, Colorado and Wisconsin. These are going to be hard fought battles that can decide this whole election. Virginia will be were a lot of money is spent trying to persuade swing voters. Most of the polls are within the margin of error, but Obama is still losing a little steam in the state. Ohio is in a similar situation, but starting to lean a little more Romney than Virginia is. Nearly all of the polls from Colorado show a one point lead for Obama, so it is still too close to call there. Wisconsin is slowly drifting towards Romney after Walker’s big win in the recall election. Also, a Romney/Ryan ticket could sway Wisconsin.

I think that this election will ultimately come down to one state: Virginia. Expect major campaigning to go on their, and if Romney plays his cards right with the VP nominee that will appeal to the voters of Virginia, he might just become the next president.

Tell me what you think below!

All of my information came from realclearpolitics.com





Veepstakes Tuesdays: Jeb Bush

12 06 2012

With Florida being a continual toss-up state, many people believe that Romney should look there to find his running mate. While most people believe that Marco Rubio is the answer to this search, others think that Jeb Bush would make a better alternative.

Bush, father of former President George H. W. Bush and brother of former President George W. Bush, is the former governor of Florida, and certainly does not lack the pedigree to lead at the top level. He has proven that he can win as a Republican in Florida, which automatically gives you a few points on a VP score card, and he has been making a lot of news lately.

Unfortunately for him, most of this news has carried negative headlines despite the fact that his words were twisted out of context. Despite the fact that his son says he would take the job if asked, Bush has said many times that he is not interested in taking the job, but he wants Rubio to get the nomination. If selected as the nominee, the Democrats will attack this statement. Also, he is still too closely associated with his brother’s administration, which still holds a negative connotation with many people.

I personally do not think that he would add anything to the ticket if asked to be the nomination, and if not played carefully, he might actually hurt Romney’s chances at the presidency. I have heard a lot of buzz surrounding Bush the past few days, but I do not think that he will be the one to get the nomination.

Like usual, here are my sources & comment below and tell me who you want to be the VP nominee.

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/06/jeb-bush-says-mitt-romney-should-pick-marco-rubio-strays-on-immigration/

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/she-the-people/post/george-p-bush-jeb-would-join-romney-ticket-if-asked/2012/06/10/gJQAHGXaSV_blog.html

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0612/77334.html





Florida vs The Feds

11 06 2012

I’m finally back!!!

Today has consisted of Gov. Rick Scott and the federal government announcing that they are suing each other over the “controversial” effort to purge the voter rolls of non-U.S. citizens.

This all started earlier today when  Scott announced that he will sue the Department of Homeland Security for not giving him access to their database to find out which people are not citizens, but on the voter rolls.

Scott said, “I have a job to do to defend the right of legitimate voters.We’ve been asking for the Department of Homeland Security’s database, SAVE, for months, and they haven’t given it to us. So this afternoon, we will be filing a lawsuit, the secretary of State of Florida, against the Department of Homeland Security to give us that database. We want to have fair, honest elections in our state and we have been put in a position that we have to sue the federal government to get this information.”

Soon after Scott’s announcement, the Department of Justice responded by saying that they are suing Florida to get them to stop the purge. The DOJ said that the purge violates the federal Voting Rights Act and the National Voter Registration Act.

Scott responded to this by saying that the federal government is breaking the law by denying Florida the access to its database.

I personally do not know enough about what Florida is doing or about the laws that they are supposedly breaking to fully make an opinion, but this will be very interesting to watch play out. I will be doing a lot more research on this, so look forward to follow-up post about this.

Feel free to comment with what you think about this issue, and here are my sources:

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/06/11/florida-sues-dhs-over-access-to-voter-citizenship-records/

http://thehill.com/video/in-the-news/232099-florida-governor-to-sue-dhs-in-voter-registration-battle