Could 2012 Be Another 2000?

29 10 2012

I’m finally back!

With the election next week, polls are becoming more and more relevant as the days go on. Romney left the first debate with all of the momentum in his favor, and Obama has done nothing to stop that momentum, only slow it down a little.

Currently, many national polls show Romney with a lead in the polls, including two consecutive Gallup polls with Romney up 5%. However, if you break down the electoral map, Obama has a fairly large advantage. Does this mean that just like in 2000, one candidate can win the popular vote and another win the electoral college? It is quite possible.

If you look at the current electoral landscape, it is looking really difficult for Romney to pull out a win simply because Obama has slight leads in most of them, and he won all of these states in 2008. The reason that Romney is leading nationally is because many of his solid states, he has such huge leads in that it balances out the amount of states Obama has large leads in. The one bright side for Romney’s campaign is that many of these polls are within the margin of error and in reality, he could actually be winning all of these states. Ultimately, expect a lot of time to be spent in Ohio and Virginia in the next week because the polls come back differently everyday.

These next few days are going to be extremely crucial in deciding the future of our country, and absolutely anything can happen. Stay tuned daily for updates.

Here is my source:

realclearpolitics.com

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